Welcome to rugby league lotto
Selecting rugby league winners in footy tipping competitions is becoming harder than lotto.
I reckon there’s more chance of winning a reasonable dividend in Lotto, the lotteries, Oz Lotto or Powerball, than getting a payout in footy tipping competitions.
For many years league fans have been involved in family or office competitions.
Each week we analyse, assess the form, look at the strengths and weaknesses of teams and then decide who we think will win.
One of the best tipping competitions I have been involved is a family and friends one that has been running for 25 years.
I have had the thrill of winning it on a few occasions but this year I am looking at the wooden spoon the way I am going.
One formula I used to employ was pretty much tip home teams, and the Broncos and the Storm, who have always been consistent and win more than they lose.
But last season the Broncos lost a stack of close games and I paid for it.
So I have decided no more trying to scrutinise the form, just use my inner voice and make selections.
And every year there are a couple of teams which knock me around.
Whenever I tip the Tigers they get beaten.
The other bogey team for me is the Titans.
I haven’t selected the Titans once this season and they have won four of their opening five games.
I had them as my leading wooden spoon candidates this season and after five rounds the Titans lead the premiership.
I tipped Newcastle to win the title at the start of the year.
They are near the bottom after five rounds.
My Dragons, the team which has sent my pulse beat racing since I started following footy at the age of five, are in the top eight.
I am happy about that as many pundits had them pencilled in for the wooden spoon this season.
My life mentor, Sylvester, is a pretty good tipster. I might have to start copying his tips.
He’s a pretty fair judge and going well in the tipping competition I am in this season.
I might have to consult the Greek mathematician Pythagoras for help with my selections.
I am at sixes and sevens with the footy this season. Come to think of it I am probably not the only one in the same boat.
Every year you do get upsets but in the opening five rounds this season many teams considered outsiders have prevailed more than the favourites.
The Titans, Tigers and Eels, who all finished in the bottom four last season are in the top eight.
Premiers the Sydney Roosters, the Knights and Souths, who all made the top four last year are outside the top eight.
Who will win the title in 2014?
I don’t have a clue as yet.
Which team will run last?
No idea as yet.
Time to go get a lotto ticket at the newsagent, I have an inkling I might have more luck.